Well the rumors all around the CRNC circle this past weekend have been about the Gourley campaign declaring victory tommorow saying they will have over 90 committed delegates. Rumored states include NJ and GA plus some others. Having crunched the numbers myself find this scenario highly unlikely as Gourley would have to pick up multiple states that had been rumored to be leaning against him as well as holding on to all of his states.
The Davidson campaign officially recieved the Missouri endorsement and has also claimed to have several others in the works for early this week. If they are telling the truth it will be hard for anyone to push this race over the top before the convention, not to mention the likelihood of defections of delegates once they actually reach the floor. We’ll wait to see the Gourley announcement tommorow, but would be shocked to see the Gourley campaign mount an insurmountable lead.
Rumors also have it that the Gourley campaign has been trying to peel off state chairs Brad Smith (MA) and Tyler Matthews (MT) from the Davidson campaign with national ticket spots, but both have reportedly turned down the advances.
Doing a little number crunching with some inside tips I currently have
Gourley: 64
Davidson: 57
Undecided: 50
This includes some states which are to be announced by both sides in the next couple of days, and I still can’t get Gourley or Davidson to the 86 delegates needed to win. Guess we’ll find out tommorow.