For years the left has warned about a “population bomb” that would cause a monumental world crisis as the planet could no longer handle the population and would collapse. Well, it seems today, we do face a population crisis but the exact opposite of the one they warned about. We are in serious danger of depopulation. Now for environmentalists who dreamed of zero population growth, negative population growth is a dream. For those of us interested in mankinds future, the continuance of Western culture, etc though it is a nightmare.
I was flipping through old copies of First Things and came upon this fantastic, yet chilling, blurb on this growing problem.
The average fertility rate in Western Europe is a dismal 1.4 children per woman, ranging from 1.8 in Ireland and France to 1.2 in Italy and Spain. This is what a 1.4 fertility rate means for Germany: “Germany could shed nearly a fifth of its 82.5 million people over the next forty years—roughly the equivalent of all of east Germany, a loss of population not seen in Europe since the Thirty Years’ War” which ended in 1748. Western Europe is losing approximately 750,000 people a year.
Economist Robert Wright of Stirling University (Scotland) warns of a “demographic time bomb” because of “a precipitous fall in the fertility rate” in Scotland, now below 1.5 children per woman. The current population of over five million is expected to decrease by more then 20 percent by 2041. A recent survey showed that over 40 percent of highly educated Scotswomen aged forty-five to forty-nine were childless.
The problem isn’t just confined to Europe though but touches China, Canada, Mexico, and many many other countries with precipitously falling birth rates. In fact the article noted Mexico is aging three times as fast as the United States. The US is around a 1.99 birth rate, but that’s still below the 2.1 needed to maintain the population.
With large swaths of Europe returning to nature and much of the population there choosing to have one or zero kids, combined with the influx of Muslim immigrants means that Europe is in the most precarious position of any of the regions of the world (excepting of course the catastrophe that is Africa, but there the solutions are not as clear cut as in Europe). The US with some minor adjustments could be back on the right track, but if the Muslims in Europe begin flexing their political muscle major decisions will have to be made that will decide whether the past 15 years of peace and freedom in Europe were the exception or the rule.