The latest poll on Patrick Ruffini’s blog shows a very disturbing trend, the absolute dominance of RINOs (even among the internet activist crowd) and the dirth of movement conservatives in the presidential race.
Over 15,000 votes have been cast in the election and Rudy Giulani garners over 30% of the vote. This is a man who has more personal liabilities than almost anyone, is rapidly pro-abortion, and pro-gay marriage. I know some in the religious right have signaled their willingness to let these faults slide, but if you want to find a way to surpress Republican turnout across the country, Jean Schmidt style, this would be a good one. George Allen is next with 20% of the vote, he is fairly solid but also has weird life credentials. He ran as pro-ambiguous though has a great voting record.
The next pack Gingrich, Romney, and McCain are all either members of the power-wing of the party (Gingrich, Romney) or the media whore wing (McCain) and sadly enough McCain probably has the most solid credentials of these three. I cannot for the life of me understand Gingrich’s growing popularity. Does anyone REMEMBER him as Speaker? The conservatives tried to have a coup to toss him out might have worked has Armey not ratted them out.
On the horizon there are really only three movement conservatives with a real possibility to be in the race: Gov. Sanford, Rep. Pence, and Rep. Tancredo. Sanford pretty much says he’s out, Pence is less direct but as a house member lacks a whole lot of standing, and Tancredo says he’s in but has baggage that will make it hard for him to win.
All, in all, ‘08 looks bleak.