Told Ya So…
Written by Mark Harris on February 8th, 2006Politics1:
CONGRESS. Respected pundit Charlie Cook of National Journal is seeing a very different political environment today as versus a year ago. Then, Cook wrote that Democratic odds of recapturing the US House appeared near impossible. Today, he now believes “the possibility of a Democratic takeover — although less than 50-50 — is very real … Even though House Democrats need a net gain of only 15 seats this November, that task is fairly daunting because the playing field is so small … Nevertheless, the Democrats do have a real shot at ending the GOP’s control of the House … The current model predicts a net Democratic gain of 10 seats. When we factor in a four-seat margin of error, the model projects that as of today, under current conditions, and without speculating about what the national political environment may do between now and November, Democrats will make a net gain of six to 14 seats. With a bit of luck — or a wave of any size — Democrats might even grasp their gold ring: 15 seats.”
Smell what the ‘94 redux is cooking?
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Theres is no proof they will gain 14 seats.
All the negative talk is gonna make voters for republicans feel let down and less encouraged to vote. Voter deperession happend here in the special election in california. I didnt vote because I thought the democrats were gonna win anyways but like many others my thoughts werent alone and many GOPers didnt vote.
I think were gonna win.
I think if katherine harris runs a conservative campaign and attacks Billy Nelson as a Ted kennedy Borker then she’ll win.
Mr. Steele I think will grab Marlyands seat as well.
The only risky race I see for the GOP is with Rick Santorum.
Hopefully he’ll win.
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And I could care less if Chafee loses his seat.
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As a Pro-Wrestler, let me say to you; please lose the wrestling terms .. Not even the Rock says that anymore !!
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We have to take into account that the Dems are divided over the Iraq issue and have not articulated an alternative platform other than that of a protest group being against the Republicans. Virginia Governor Tim Kaine’s poor rebuttal to the State of the Union Address is a good example.
If McCain manages to pass bipartisan lobbyist reform, it will take much of the scandals off the Dems list of issues to exploit. If the Republicans take a better stance on border security, it will take another issue away from the Dems. President Bush’s Social Security Panel will show the public what will happen if we don’t pass reform. If Majority Leader Boehner takes decision action and reform, it will motivate the Republican base.
The bottom line is that negativity doesn’t win elections. The Dems haven’t learned that from 2004. You need more than negativity, you need a positive vision. Negativity might persuade some voters not to support your opponent, but it does not turn them out to vote for you.
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I am not so concerned with seats that have the potential to go to the Democrats. I am more concerned with seats that are presently held by RINOs that might be ousted and replaced with “good” Republicans. If we lose four or five seats but up the % up conservatives in the house by 20% then that would be a huge victory.
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Then why didn’t you vote?
Vote despite what polls say!
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Quote “Then why didn’t you vote?
Vote despite what polls say!
”
Well I also recently moved out of the 48th District (The Rep.John Cambell district) last march and I had’t updated my voter registration.
I will never choose not to vote again. After seeing how each of arnolds measures were defeated.