Here

10:54 - DeLay with 21/216 precincts is up by 6,000-odd votes
Ciro Rodriguez (lib) is up against conservative D, Cuellar, by 4,000 votes with 159/256 precinct in BUT 0/30 precincts counted in Webb County, Cuellar’s base

11:07 -
Cuellar Morales Rodriguez
7939 1544 12495 21978
36.12% 7.03% 56.85%

DeLay Cambell Baig Fjetland
10005 4049 591 918 15563
64.29% 26.02% 3.80% 5.90%

11:12 -
Cuellar Morales Rodriguez
8127 1596 13216 22939
35.43% 6.96% 57.61%

DeLay Cambell Baig Fjetland
10005 4049 591 918 15563
64.29% 26.02% 3.80% 5.90%

Still no precincts from Webb reporting, I am going to see how many votes usually come out of there. Keep in mind there are runoffs in Texas so to avoid elimination a candidate need only keep the front runner under 50%. Though from my understanding of the Cuellar race most of the Morales votes would break to Rodriguez so to win he likely needs to do it tonight.

11:17 - Analysis in 2004, nearly 48,000 votes were cast in the Cuellar-Rodriguez race so there are still a lot of votes to be cast.

2004 Webb Co Results
U. S. Representative District 28
Henry Cuellar DEM 12,894 84.13%
Ciro D. Rodriguez DEM 2,431 15.86%
———–
Race Total 15,325

Nearly 14,000 votes likely to come out of Webb breaking heavily for Cuellar means that likely this race will go long into the night.

11:22
Cuellar Morales Rodriguez
8542 1685 14557 24784
34.47% 6.80% 58.74%

DeLay Cambell Baig Fjetland
11323 4456 638 971 17388
65.12% 25.63% 3.67% 5.58%

About half the votes are likely processed in the Cuellar race.

Bexar Co 2004
U. S. Representative District 28
Henry Cuellar DEM 2,737 20.18%
Ciro D. Rodriguez DEM 10,824 79.81%
———–
Race Total 13,561

Bexar Co 2006
U. S. Representative District 28
Henry Cuellar - Incumbent 1,395 20.85% 2,742 20.29%
Victor Morales 385 5.75% 706 5.22%
Ciro D. Rodriguez 4,910 73.39% 10,065 74.48%
———– ———–
Total Votes Cast 6,690 13,513
Precincts Reported 96 of 102 Precincts 94.12%
Its interesting to note the turnout is only barely higher in Bexar Co in 2006 as opposed to 2004 and Cuellar is actually doing a tenth of a point better. This means that Webb Co if it holds to its path of 2004 will yield a likely Cuellar victory but its going to be a squeaker

11:49 - Daily Kos, one of the lead orgs for Ciro are reporting things are begining to look bleak for Ciro. A Kossack did a 2004 v 2006 breakdown of what has been reported so far and shows that Cuellar is either doing the same or better in ‘06 as in ‘04 pretty much across the board. Good news for us not in looney lefty land, but I can say from my campaign expierence even if you know you have a lot of votes out still its always nerveracking to be down in the vote counts.

11:54 - Early vote returns in for Webb County and Cuellar is recieving 86.8% of the vote. If this number holds across the board in Webb then this election is over.

11:58 -
Cuellar Morales Rodriguez
16705 2145 15408 34258
48.76% 6.26% 44.98%

DeLay Cambell Baig Fjetland
12707 5118 1031 971 19827
64.09% 25.81% 5.20% 4.90%

12:08 - Daily Kos & Red State have more or less both called this race for Cuellar, I am not that ready to jump the gun but it does look good. What is Kos now? Like 0-1000? LoL

12:52 -
Cuellar Morales Rodriguez
17142 2232 15986 35360
48.48% 6.31% 45.21%

Cuellar will win this round but he needs to pick up 1.5% to get over 50% to avoid a runoff.

1:20AM - Going to bed, but with 84% of the vote Cuellar has 48.2% of the vote, hard to know if he’ll pick up the votes he needs to get to 50%+1, also the voting anomalies in Webb County will probably be quite contentious. I expect there will be a runoff, hard to tell who will win such a runoff though. My gut is on Cuellar but never know.