Santorum’s Woes
Sunday, June 4th, 2006A devastating poll came out for Santorum this past week. Rasmussen released their latest poll putting Santorum 23 points behind his Democratic challenger, Bob Casey Jr. This is by far the bleakest things have ever looked. I’m not totally resting easy with this poll, though, as something seems a little off. Just a few weeks before several polls had come out with Rick closing in on Casey, one having him as close as six points. Suddenly, Rasmussen releases this bombshell out of nowhere. In the same respect, Rasmussen has generally been a very accurate pollster so it’s hard to gauge until we see another poll released.
Mr. Santorum, in the eyes of many of his ideological allies in the state party, tarnished his conservative credentials with his support of Mr. Specter against a 2004 primary challenge from former U.S. Rep. Pat Toomey. Mr. Toomey supports Mr. Santorum in this race, but many of Mr. Toomey’s supporters still resent his actions in 2004.
This is turning out to be a bigger problem than I thought it would. All of us in the Toomey camp were clearly angry with Santorum after that primary, but I thought within the following two years it would blow over. For some people it has, but I am amazed at how many out there are still holding that against him. The polls are reflecting it as well.
A Rasmussen Reports poll of Pennsylvania voters published last week suggested similar concerns for Mr. Santorum, who had the support of 67 percent of Republicans. His challenger, state Treasurer Bob Casey, on the other hand, had the support of 87 percent of Democratic voters.
Could the specter (no pun intended) of Santorum’s betrayal in the Toomey race really cost him reelection? Santorum has always been down in the polls coming up on reelection, but in the end has always managed to pull it off. However, it’s never been this bad before. I’m keeping an open mind for this one in November, but at the same time I am not holding my breath.