With what is looking like an almost certain third party Presidential run by Michael Bloomberg coming next year, I can’t help but to put on my tin foil hat and wonder if there is a Clinton hand behind all of this. Recent polling has shown that almost 50% of voters would not vote for Hillary under any circumstances, so how does she win? The same way her husband did, with less than 50% of the popular vote, but still winning the Electoral College.
The New Jersey General Election poll that was done last week shows Giuliani winning the state, but with Bloomberg in the fray, Rudy ties with Clinton, inferring that a Bloomberg candidacy would hurt the GOP more than the Democrats. Bill Clinton won both in 1992 and 1996 because a strong third party candidate named Ross Perot entered the fray and siphoned off a lot of would be Republican votes allowing Clinton to win electoral votes in states he otherwise would not have. Strong third party candidates are rare and it just seems strangely coincidental to me that the only two times in recent decades that there has been one that changed the result of the election was the two times a Clinton ran for President and now the third time it could happen is with another Clinton running for President.
You can see how Perot changed the landscape by the two charts below. Note that the blue states are actually the Republicans and the red states are actually the Democrats. Traditionally, this is how the parties were always represented until recent years as red generally represents the left side of the political spectrum.
1992

1996:

These charts come from Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections, an awesome resource.
Anyway, that is my conspiracy theory of the day. The tin foil hat is coming off now.