Romney Well Positioned for Nomination
Written by Sam on October 25th, 2007And, as we enter the final push before primary votes are cast, Romney has accomplished a remarkable objective: He has gone from being a little-known governor of a liberal-leaning Democratic state to the leading Republican candidate in public opinion polls in both critical early-primary states, New Hampshire and Iowa.In other words, by historic measures, Romney is better-positioned to win the nomination than former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani or Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson — both of whom are trouncing him in national surveys.
Oh God, say it isn’t so. If the Ken doll gets the nomination we’re doomed in ‘08.
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I’m not sure I would say that Romney is “better-positioned”. He has an election strategy that will require that he wins both Iowa and New Hampshire (and probably Michigan). If he loses any of these, he is basically done. I even think that if Iowa is close he is done. New Hampshire is Romney’s problem. He is only up by 4.3% (according to the Real Clear Politics poll average).
Fred’s strategy doesn’t really start until South Carolina. Rudy’s is based on Florida and California. I don’t think the “historic measures” really apply here.