CNN Poll Shows Shakeup in New Hampshire
Written by Sam on November 20th, 2007Romney has gained more ground in the poll, while Thompson has slipped to sixth place.
- Romney - 33%
- McCain - 18%
- Giuliani - 16%
- Paul - 8%
- Huckabee - 5%
Thompson’s negatives have really bounced in New Hampshire, which is surprising to me.
Thompson’s negatives have grown sharply since he entered the race.
In July, a CNN/WMUR poll of New Hampshire Republicans found 30 percent would not support him “under any circumstances” — but in the new poll, that figure grew to 50 percent.
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Thompson’s campaign is comatose.
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It is not comatose, but he is understandably ignoring New Hampshire. He has nothing to gain there. Neither Huck nor Fred are campaigning in New Hampshire because their nomination strategies are not dependent on New Hampshire.
Fred has about 3 weeks to make his push. He is just now starting his media buys and mailers.
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New Hampshire is going to be a pivotal state that will create the inertia for a Romney victory. He’s got the charisma, money, political machine, experience and character to carry the Republican nomination with far fewer negatives then Rudy and he can win in the general election.
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AlexB,
New Hampshire will only matter to Romney if he wins Iowa first. It looks like he will, but if Huck knocks him off, all bets are off in the Granite State.
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The real mystery to me is Romney…who is supporting this guy? What segment of the party is he getting? He is a greasy, slick politician type who is only behind Hillary Clinton in terms of most position flip-flops. If we nominate Romney, its President Hillary.
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I agree. A Romney candidacy puts a Democrat in the White House. I don’t know how anyone can trust that guy.
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Back in 2004 we rightfully eviscerated John Kerry for flip-flopping. How then can Republicans honestly think that nominating Romney (a guy from the same state!) would be a good idea? Not only would it be blatantly hypocritical, but we’d be unable to attack The Toxic Harpy (I don’t use her name) for her own history of hedging and indecision.
The real question is whether there’s something in Boston Harbor causing all this…
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If Thompson hadn’t taken so long to enter the race (or more precisely, if he hadn’t taken so long after he announced his interest in running), this wouldn’t have happened. There was no excuse for his going through the motions in April and then doing nothing all summer. Ignoring New Hampshire is very risky for him, especially with Huckabee rising. The pro-life voters aren’t coalescing behind any one or two or even three candidates, which means that Thompson could be doing more damage by staying in the race. We might see a lot of big wins for Giuliani, with the pro-life movement as divided as it is.
If Hillary Clinton wins this election, I’m prepared to blame it on Thompson for taking this devil-may-care attitude toward the election. Run or don’t run, but whatever you do, don’t treat the process with this much contempt. If you’re running a half-hearted campaign, you have no reason to run any campaign.
::sigh:: That being said, I’ll vote for Thompson before I vote for Romney (assuming Thompson isn’t this far behind in the polls when the New York primary rolls around), and I won’t vote for that abortionist Rudy Giuliani, St. John McVain, or that lying, tax-hiking ex-governor from Arkansas under any circumstances.
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I think the story of this poll is that a previously little-known Texas Congressman named Ron Paul is at 8 percent — ahead of two “top tier” candidates (even if they are not campaigning there).
Sunday on “This Week,” George Will speculated that Ron Paul would go into double digits and change the outcome of the race in New Hampshire.
I think he’s right.
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This is NH, how are Paul’s poll numbers elsewhere? Iowa, below 5 in a 6 person race. South carolina, not even registering . Florida, nothing. Michigan, nothing. I think its time for people to stop pretending Paul is anything other than a media darling due to his antiwar stance. Paul supporters keep telling us that because he is peeking above 5 percent, that “his message is resonating with voters”. Well, I guess that means that Romney’s, McCains, and Guiliani’s message is resonating with 13 times more republicans on total.
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Thompson is a bust…..
And supporting Libby in that spy spat just do not help.
NOBODY KNOWS HIM!!
Even the media has dropped he after much speculation over him joining the hunt.
But I am surprised that Paul and Huckabee are at the bottom of the list in the heart of Libertarian country.