Bailout News
Written by Mike on September 24th, 2008We have been told that if we don’t acquiesce to the single biggest government expenditure (or assumed risk) of a generation then the (financial) world as we know it will end. We have been told that the markets are as bad off as they have been since the Great Depression. We are further informed that only a massive expansion of the federal government’s power over the economy, control over executive compensation, banning short selling, derivatives and anything else these numbskulls don’t understand is the answer.
Bull.
It is important to remember these are the same clowns who have led us to this point. They have no special wisdom to be applied to the situation. I’ll give you an example if you will permit me. The SEC has temporarily banned short selling in financial stocks (an action quickly replicated around the world by other bourses). The initial list of the 799 “financial” stocks included a Nigerian aviation company(!), several firms which are no longer traded and left off some major financial companies such as Fifththird Bank Corp of Cincinnati and hundreds of smaller ones. They later added GM and Ford to the list, those titans of finance along with a conglomerate, GE that only receives half of its profits from financial operations.
The result of all of this brilliant maneuvering by our government has been three straight down days in the DOW and S&P 500 (financials included) despite the short sell ban. Maybe it wasn’t those evil speculators that were the problem . . .
This is but one example of how extremely stupid these people are and it needs to be repeated: these are not intelligent men who really understand what the problem is. They are covering their backsides and are attempting, according to Walter Williams to drive fear into the hearts of investors and citizens alike.
This was not a market failure. It has nothing to do with “toxic assets” or “bizarre derivatives”, and the people who use these words are showing the world they don’t have a clue what they are talking about. They don’t understand basic futures and options let alone CDOs and credit default swaps which in and of themselves aren’t that complicated. They can’t understand the simple things about economics and markets, what makes you think they get how you can strip the cashflow out of bonds? The efforts of government intervention in free markets led to this failure, not lack of regulation or byzantine investment vehicles.
The consensus is that Something Must Be Done to rein in financial markets. This consensus is part of a general theme among some pundits and economists that it’s time to give up the naïve faith that markets can solve every problem. We are told that markets have failed.
Yet much of the current chaos is the result of attempts to steer or control markets rather than let them be. Much of the chaos is the result of political failure.
This confusion and fear in the market place is driven not by a fear of what has happened already, but where we might be going from here. Look into the eyes of the congressmen, bureaucrats, TV pundits and even the two men running for president as they discuss this bailout, credit squeeze and what to do about it: they are lost. They genuinely don’t understand what is happening, why it is happening and what consequences will result from their actions. The markets know this and are reacting accordingly. Smart conservatives from all walks of life don’t know what the next best step is. Donald Luskin, a free marketeer if you ever saw one, doesn’t know what the right move is. I don’t blame him, the future has never been cloudier. His skepticism is welcome however:
According to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation there have been 15 bank failures in the U.S. between 2007 and today. We had thousands over a few years in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Since the stock market hit an all-time high last October, the S&P 500 has fallen 23 percent. It fell more than twice that — 49 percent — during the last bear market, between March 2000 to October 2002.
Even if you grant that this really is a “crisis,” and that it justifies an extraordinary intervention, there can be no doubt that the $700 billion authority being sought for the purchase of distressed mortgage-related securities is far too great an amount. Of the $1.26 trillion in non-prime mortgages — that is, “sub-prime” and “Alt-A” mortgages — $743 billion is already either owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, companies that were shored up by a government rescue earlier this month. That leaves $521 billion, which means the Treasury’s $700 billion would be more than enough to buy them all. And that’s even if the Treasury paid full value. In fact, the Treasury will get a steep discount, considering that many of the mortgages in question are in delinquency or default. Does the Treasury really have to buy every single non-prime mortgage — even the healthy ones — twice over?
Jeb Hensarling has provided some leadership, along with Jim DeMint, but even these stalwarts of economic liberty are struggling to deal with the enormity of opposing socialism on this scale in the face of the consequences of failure.
I wish I had all the answers to this crisis, I really do. The truth is I know just two things right now, I don’t trust what Hank Paulson, Ben Bernake, Chris Cox and the boys on the Hill are saying is accurate (while at the same time not doubting their honesty in saying it) and this is exactly the sort issue that Calvin Coolidge would suggest we take a wait and see approach to. The path will become far more clear if we are willing to spend the time and effort to gather more information.
Whatever else happens from this point forward I hope the ills of socialism are blindingly obvious to all observers of this disaster. Support it at your own peril. Also remember, as my Dad would say, to keep smiling.
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Good thing John McCain, who has missed 109 of 110 votes since April and 412 of 643 this term, is rushing back to congress to help out with this mess!
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Yes, McCain is returning to do his job, unlike Obama
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When we’re facing a major economic crisis, it seems to me like this might be a good time for the man who might be the next person in charge of fixing it to explain his plan to the people. This is a time when we need to be hearing what both candidates will do about the problem.
It’s not like McCain’s expertise on the economy is needed by congress in order to plan this bill.
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I see the moonbats are out.
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I do think McCain is engaging in political opportunism. I understand why he is returning though, both he and Obama have looked very poor in their feeble attempts so far to address this issue and the campaign has been eclipsed by the financial crisis. This is an effort to bring his presidential run back into the spotlight.
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“both he and Obama have looked very poor in their feeble attempts so far to address this issue”
McCain said that “the fundamentals of the economy are strong” and then tried to cancel the first debate in the wake of his collapsing poll numbers.
Obama put out a detailed campaign ad which lists exactly what his strategy is for dealing with this crisis.
I think both could do more, but at least Obama is trying and not claiming that there isn’t a problem and then running away from the people when they most need to see a potential new leader in action.
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Obama has no clue what caused this problem. None of his comments support the idea that he has a plan or an understanding of the situation. He has offered the same vague platitudes he has offered this country from day one and everyone seems to be eating them up, without asking for any real details.
He wants a “middle class tax cut” paid for by “closing special interest loopholes”. Honestly, WTF does that even mean!? He could be talking about anything, which is exactly the point! No details, none at all. His plan is snake oil and monkey dust as my grandfather would say.
There is a reason his plan is vague and largely unknown at this point, he himself doesn’t know yet what he will do and the parts he does know he wants to do, he doesn’t want the voters to know about yet.
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I am glad to see McCain is leading congressional Republicans in a revolt against this nonsense.
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Mike,
While you me disagree with his analysis and his solutions, Obama’s plan is anything but vague. He has like 300 pages of .pdf files describing exactly what he plans to do.
The argument can be made that he won’t do what he promises in the campaign once he’s President, but the same argument can be made about McCain, too.
At least Obama is offering a detailed, specific plan. McCain is running away from the debate and the voters.
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Okay, I was referring to the campaign commercial which I watched as you suggested. I’ll take a little time and read some of his PDF file in my quest for specifics.
You should know BTW I dislike McCain’s ideas as well, cap and trade system? Are you kidding me? This isn’t a political problem I have with Obama, but policy problem.